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Well, right on the heels of President Joe Biden referring twice to 2021 interactions with world leaders who were deceased at the time, the Justice Department special prosecutor in charge of investigating Biden’s handling of classified materials went and wrote a report explaining that he is not recommending an indictment of the president because, among other things, Biden would come across to jurors as “a sympathetic, well-meaning, elderly man with a poor memory” rather than someone who knowingly violated the law.

The prosecutor, Robert Hur, explained this statement by writing in his report that Biden struggled during an interview to remember which years certain events occurred, and whether he was vice president at the time; he also wrote that Biden “did not remember, even within several years, when his son Beau died.” (It was 2015.) On the heels of thatˆ—a lot of things are happening on the heels of things right now, a real widening-gyre situation—Biden held a Thursday night press conference to address the question of his mental faculties, among other topics. And then he referred to Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi as the president of Mexico.

Spiritually, this is the first major news cycle of the 2024 general election, in that it is the first time that Democrats have engaged in the kind of mass spiraling about being doomed because of this or that news event that characterized the 2020 race.

To wit: The New York Times’ Maggie Haberman reporting, mid–press conference, that she had received “panicked texts” about Biden’s performance from “several Democratic operatives.” (While journalists should never discourage anonymous sources from being frank about their feelings, one does have to wonder about the strategy instincts of the strategists who decided that the lead political reporter for the New York Times was the best person with whom to share concerns about their party’s presidential candidate being, allegedly, a disaster.)

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So, is this kind of thing going to cost Biden the election? I’ll save you some suspense: I don’t know. But the case that it’s bad for him is pretty obvious: Not remembering when events took place or who’s leading what country and/or is dead does not inspire voters to think “I trust this person to handle complicated issues on my behalf.” In a NBC News poll released earlier this week, in fact, three-quarters of voters already said they had concerns about Biden’s mental and physical health.

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The case that this kind of thing is not really that bad for Biden starts with three-quarters of voters already having some concerns about his fitness. Biden already looked and sounded old when he ran in 2020 and has had a reputation as a name-forgetter and gaffe generator for a long time before that. (Remember when he called Obama “Barack America“? That was 16 years ago.) But Biden won in 2020 nonetheless and is neck-and-neck with Donald Trump in polling at the moment.

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Trump, who is 77, has twice confused two political figures himself during recent campaign events, and is also Donald Trump, which is to say, if the election comes down to whom voters ultimately trust more as a human being, Biden has a good shot regardless of how many times he spaces out in public in the next nine months.

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In the specific case of the special counsel’s claims, Biden’s representatives argue that the characterization of the president was hostile, selective, and unfair; they say that on the whole he demonstrated a grasp of the events in question, some of which took place more than a decade ago, and that others involved in the investigation also had lapses of memory. (They also note that Biden was questioned on Oct. 8 and 9 of last year, when a global crisis was unfolding in Israel.) Others have pointed out that the special counsel, Robert Hur, is a Republican who served as a law clerk for conservative Supreme Court Justice William Rehnquist and may be interested in preserving his right-wing cred in the event that he’s considered for a job in the next GOP administration. And the Egypt/Mexico confusion is arguably evidence that Biden’s conceptual brain is still working, given that the remark was made in relation to Egypt’s attitude toward refugees from Gaza; Mexico is the other country with which the U.S. is involved in discussions about accepting migrant populations.

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Going forward, this could also set Biden up to stride easily over a low bar; if undecided voters are primed to expect someone who is literally senile, and then see him mixing up a name or two but otherwise describing various issues coherently and with evident emotional engagement, they may decide that the whole thing has been overblown. In the end, Democrats are making the same bet that they did in the last election: that voters, presented with the option of Donald Trump or someone who misplaces the occasional classified document or name of the president of France, will ultimately decide that what they care most about is who has his heart in the right place.

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QOSHE - Will Joe Biden Suffer Politically From the Justice Department Special Counsel Saying His Brain Doesn’t Work? - Ben Mathis-Lilley
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Will Joe Biden Suffer Politically From the Justice Department Special Counsel Saying His Brain Doesn’t Work?

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09.02.2024
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Well, right on the heels of President Joe Biden referring twice to 2021 interactions with world leaders who were deceased at the time, the Justice Department special prosecutor in charge of investigating Biden’s handling of classified materials went and wrote a report explaining that he is not recommending an indictment of the president because, among other things, Biden would come across to jurors as “a sympathetic, well-meaning, elderly man with a poor memory” rather than someone who knowingly violated the law.

The prosecutor, Robert Hur, explained this statement by writing in his report that Biden struggled during an interview to remember which years certain events occurred, and whether he was vice president at the time; he also wrote that Biden “did not remember, even within several years, when his son Beau died.” (It was 2015.) On the heels of thatˆ—a lot of things are happening on the heels of things right now, a real widening-gyre situation—Biden held a Thursday night press conference to address the question of his mental faculties, among other topics. And then he referred to Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi as the president of Mexico.

Spiritually, this is the first major news cycle of the 2024 general election, in that it is the first time that Democrats have engaged in the kind of mass spiraling about being doomed because of this or that news event that characterized the 2020 race.

To wit: The New York Times’ Maggie Haberman........

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