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Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis did just well enough in Iowa to keep his presidential campaign going, the poor guy. Whereas a distant third-place finish could’ve sent him packing to Florida, his distant second-place finish gives him an excuse to keep running on fumes through South Carolina.

But what’s the strategy, besides running for running’s sake?

We do at least know what Nikki Haley’s path looks like. To keep things going, she would have to win New Hampshire, a state well-suited to her strengths, translate that into a victory in her home state of South Carolina, and ride that energy into Super Tuesday. While this has an exceptionally low likelihood of working, it is a comprehensible linear progression.

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DeSantis doesn’t have much of a strategy, but he does have an idea of what he’d like to see happen: Haley being eliminated, so DeSantis, who has broader appeal than Haley within the Republican Party, can take on Trump in a one-on-one contest. That means he needs Haley to lose New Hampshire and South Carolina. So by our calculations … Ron DeSantis’ plan to wrest the nomination from Donald Trump is to … hope that Trump wins the next two big primaries.

“If Nikki loses New Hampshire—which is her best chance out of all states to win—and loses her home state of South Carolina right after,” as a DeSantis source explained to NBC News, “she will need to get out and we get our two-man race.”

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And to whom would Nikki lose New Hampshire and South Carolina? Not Ron DeSantis. He’s in a distant last place in New Hampshire, a state he’s only making a brief, perfunctory appearance in this week. And he’s in an only slightly less-distant last place in South Carolina, where he’s parking himself for the next month on a shoestring budget. So if he wants Haley to lose New Hampshire and South Carolina, he needs Trump to win both states—a move that would almost certainly lock up the presidential nomination for Trump, to the extent it isn’t locked up already.

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Could it be that the DeSantis campaign is flailing a bit in the peculiar, existential non-space it’s occupying? It could. The best coping strategy he and his allies have for this bust of a campaign, about which the long-in-the-works obituaries are already being published, is that mainstream and right-wing media alike are in the tank for Trump because both are, somehow, woke. His campaign is running out of money, as the billionaires writing seven-figure checks have long since given up on him. He’s panhandling Tallahassee lobbyists for pocket change now, having blown most of his $100-million-plus war chest building an Iowa operation. It’s a shame that ground game muscled out a second-place finish for him in the caucuses. If it hadn’t, he could be home by now, with all of this behind him.

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QOSHE - DeSantis’ Novel Strategy Is for Trump to Win New Hampshire and South Carolina. Wait, What? - Jim Newell
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DeSantis’ Novel Strategy Is for Trump to Win New Hampshire and South Carolina. Wait, What?

16 6
18.01.2024
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Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis did just well enough in Iowa to keep his presidential campaign going, the poor guy. Whereas a distant third-place finish could’ve sent him packing to Florida, his distant second-place finish gives him an excuse to keep running on fumes through South Carolina.

But what’s the strategy, besides running for running’s sake?

We do at least know what Nikki Haley’s path looks like. To keep things going, she would have to win New Hampshire, a state well-suited to her strengths, translate that into a victory in her home state of South Carolina, and ride that energy into Super Tuesday. While this has an exceptionally low likelihood of working, it is a comprehensible linear progression.

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DeSantis doesn’t have much of a strategy, but he does have an idea of what he’d like to........

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